*Assumes 55 percent of exports to the United States are dilbit blends and 45 percent are SCO (source: NEB 2009 oil sands exports).
**Steam injection is used for projection.
***Assumes SOR of 3.35.
12 percent loss of volume upgrading bitumen to SCO.
All SAGD crude production cases assume an SOR of 3.
All oil sands cases marked "Dilbit" assume that the diluent is consumed in the refinery, with no recycle of diluents back to Alberta, and only 70 percent of the barrel is from oil sands.